Tuesday, December 9, 2008

Guessing Around the Globes


Ballots are due today from the Hollywood Foreign Press and the nominations for this year's Golden Globes will be announced the day after tomorrow. I decided to go ahead and make my first ever Golden Globe nomination predictions, and discussed my complete list last night on BlogTalkRadio during the Oscar, Oscar! Broadcast with host Jason O'Brien.

Here's what I'm expecting to be nominated in the six major categories (features and lead acting) along with an unlikely wild card that could be a surprise nominee. Every year there is at least one category that garners more than five nominations, and this year I'm betting it will be Lead Actor in a Drama. The three films I'm expecting to receive the most nominations are 8 for Revolutionary Road, 6 for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, and 5 or 6 (as a wild card for Supporting Actress) for Slumdog Millionaire.

BEST DRAMA
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Milk
Revolutionary Road
wild card: Defiance

BEST COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Burn After Reading
Mamma Mia!
Slumdog Millionaire
Tropic Thunder
Wall-E
wild card: W

DRAMA LEAD ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio "Revolutionary Road"
Clint Eastwood "Gran Torino"
Frank Langella "Frost/Nixon"
Sean Penn "Milk"
Brad Pitt "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button"
Mickey Rourke "The Wrestler"
wild card: Will Smith "Seven Pounds"

DRAMA LEAD ACTRESS
Anne Hathaway "Rachel Getting Married"
Angelina Jolie "Changeling"
Nicole Kidman "Australia"
Meryl Streep "Doubt"
Kate Winslet "Revolutionary Road"
wild card: Keira Knightley "The Duchess"

COMEDY/MUSICAL LEAD ACTOR
Josh Brolin "W"
Pierce Brosnan "Mamma Mia!"
George Clooney "Burn After Reading"
Robert Downey, Jr. "Tropic Thunder"
Dev Patel "Slumdog Millionaire"
wild card: Sam Rockwell "Choke"

COMEDY/MUSICAL LEAD ACTRESS
Jennifer Aniston "Marley & Me"
Sally Hawkins "Happy-Go-Lucky"
Frances McDormand "Burn After Reading"
Sarah Jessica Parker "Sex and the City"
Meryl Streep "Mamma Mia!"
wild card: Beyonce Knowles "Cadillac Records"

You can see my complete list of predictions that include the other six categories (Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Director, Screenplay, Music Score and Song) posted on MyBlog at MySpace.

9 comments:

red said...

Excellent predictions, as usual. As much as I liked Slumdog Millionaire, I'm kind of worried that it's receiving so many early awards (like NBR and DC Critics). Doesn't give me a lot of confidence in films yet to be released.

Liz said...

Any idea when Revolutionary Road comes out nationwide? I've heard mixed early reviews, but I'm still interested

Garney said...

I think the recent events in Mumbai are helping make Slumdog an even more sentimental favorite.

Revolutionary Road is slated for a limited Christmas release and then expand in January. I'm predicting it will have a huge presence at the Globes but I'm expecting only a handful of nominations when it comes Oscar time (actress and supporting actor, maybe adapted screenplay and cinematography).

BeckEye said...

As a so-called pop culture blogger, it really doesn't bode well for me that I couldn't care less about the Golden Globes. Or the Oscars, really. But I can at least force myself to blog about the latter every year.

Grant Miller said...

I'm expecting you to win several Drysdales.

Liz said...

My inner 15-year-old won't allow me to miss a Leo film

Catherinette Singleton said...

Oh how I LOVE award season, it's the freaking best!!

You know what? I'm thinking that Kate Winslet might get 2 nominations in the drama lead category. The second one for "The Reader".

And Brad Pitt can suck my left one. I can't stand him.

Garney said...

They're pushing Winslet as Supporting Actress for The Reader so she won't have to compete with herself... I'm expecting her to get nominations in both categories come Oscar time when The Reader will be taking all the attention away from Revolutionary Road.

Falwless said...

Hey looks like you were pretty right on, mostly... except that lead actor in Comedy/Musical category...

I'm impressed!